nifty50 view

3rd Nov 2016 Nifty view : key highlights

NIFTY creates fresh 3 month closing LOWS – lowest since 21.7.2016; stock specific movement still remains flavor of the day. 8480-8500 crucial for overall health …  The NIFTY opened @ 8542.80, GAP-DOWN by around 83 points over Tuesday. Without much doubt it was a full RED day, as NIFTY on the intraday patch still walleted in a tight 45 point range defined by the 8504.85 & 8549.50 (very close to the earlier support of 8550, now turned resistance). The NIFTY shut shop @ 8514.00 DOWN by 112.25 points or 1.3%. This a new 3 month closing LOW, last visited only on 21.7.2016.  The broader indices moved in tandem with the benchmark NIFTY. While the NIFTY MID100 FREE closed DOWN by 2.1% @ 15787.20; the NIFTY SML100 FREE closed DOWN by 1.92% @ 6376.60. The advance decline, in line with the broader indices; remained pegged on the BEAR side, as it stood at 378 advances to 1311 declines. The India VIX shot up a massive 6.75%, to close near the 16.80 mark.  All the sectoral indices, without any exception traded in the RED. The NIFTY PSU BANKS & NIFTY REALTY, mainly the rate sensitives took a cut of almost 3%. On the other hand the NIFTY FMCG & NIFTY METALS were spared the hardships, as they closed down a shade short of the one percent mark.  We now stand at the fag end of the SUPPORT band between 8550-8500. Price-Wise, the momentum seems to once again shift in favor of the BEARS as we stand too close to the level of 8500, and if it gets breached on closing basis, the gates to 8420 may open UP. The medium term picture may DIP from current SIDEWAYS to BEARISH with a DROP below the 8420 mark, that may open UP even till the level of 8083 (200 DMA).On the other hand, the BULLS have last hope only above closing level of 8740 (an extension of the 8680-8720 mark).